Conditional Stop Order

In this article you will learn how to put a stop lost on your options which tag along with the stock price. You also will learn how to put on the profit target. This will be done by using OCA group. This mean if the profit target get triggered, the stop lost will get cancel. This stop order will be able to prevent from the gap down effect of the stock.

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Press the bid button to get the order out.

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Right click on the order. Mouse over the modify to get the condition. Click on the condition.

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When you click on the condition, you will be able to see the pop-up. Click on the conditional tab. Type in the stock symbol that you want to put the stop lost. Make sure your Exchange is smart and Description is Stock. Trigger method DOUBLE LAST. If you buy a call your stop lost will be <= and vice verse. Remember to put the stop price. This stop price will be the stock price. Click ok when you are done.

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Once you click ok, you will be able to see the order that you created.

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Once you have check the order, click on the accept button. NOT THE TRANSMIT BUTTON!!!

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Change the Limit order to market order. This order will be execute by the stock price (not the option price). Therefore when the stock price hit 140, the option will be sell at the market price.

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Check that the price change to MARKET. If you just want to put the stop lost, this order will be good enough. Just press T button to transmit the order. Take note: if you want to put the stop lost forever till it get triggered, remember to change the DAY to GTC (good till cancel).

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This slide show you how to put the target profit and stop lost at the same time. Click on the bid column to open the order. Key in your profit target.

You have to put in the OCA group. Remember to label the order (profit target and stop lost) using same characters.

You will be able to get your OCA group under the Global configuration.

When you are done with everything, remember to press the transmit button.

Please test it out yourself at the paper platform first. Experience it for yourself then proceed on to the real trade.

Singapore GDP shrinks 4.8%, cuts 2008 growth view

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — The Singapore government said Thursday that its economy shrank 4.8% during the October-December period from the previous quarter while the island nation’s inflation continued to grow on cost increases in health care, housing and food costs”

This is not a surprise to me. Back in last year i already tell my friend that Singapore economy will not be as good as previous year. Singapore might be affected by the ongoing credit issue, sub prime and possibilities of recession in US. Sadly many of my friends just brush off my idea. Singaporean young adult are mostly ignorant about the world economy. We always think that Singapore economy will continue to grow at a tremendous rate.

I still remember some of my friend use their CPF money to invest in Singapore Fund and China Fund. I remember telling them that the market will be coming down soon as the world economy will get affected by the US problems. Then most of my friend say, “Don’t worry Brother, Asia is growing fast, China fund is good as Olympics is coming and Singapore will be boost by the IR industry”. The fact that they didn’t know is that the market will react faster than the economy. The market react to the news. Just less than 6 months ago, Singapore Index hit a high of 3k ++, now within just a few months, Singapore index is only at 2k+. Most of the Asia market suffered averagely 20% of the high. If my friends hight my advice to wait till the economy is good then you invest, they will be a lot happier now.

Invest for long term ( 10 years ) fund/index/Unitrust sure make money.

The above sentence is only half true. Invest long term in your own country index is almost sure to make money but not fund and other products. To invest at a peak of the market will take a even long time to make money. Market and Economy always goes in a cycle. What go up have to eventually come down.

This is the best period of time to save money for the next upcoming bull run which might happen in 2 years time. Always wait till the overall economy is good then you enter the market. Read the world news everyday to keep yourself update with the economy. Invest in yourself and you will reap the rewards.

Please Wake Up Singaporean … Especially the young adults … You might find it hard to get a job for the rest of this year till next year … especially if you want to work in a banking industry. Learn to manage your CPF fund properly. Do not think that you can’t use the money now so you just mismanage it and dump it at a lousy fund or stocks. Always do your due-diligence and do your own finance. Do not be sway by the so-called professional financial planner.

Tips

Invest something that will 100% guarantee to grow your capital. Always ask the Professionals to guarantee your investment capital. If they cant means their products is not really that good. If they cant promise you a good return of 5% guarantee annually, you might as well park your money at CPF special account which give you a good rate or even at ordinary account also not bad.

Important thing is always invest in yourself …

Bear Market Coming Soon?

January 22, 2008

Those of you have follow my blog regularly, you guys would have know the bear market is coming. A few months ago, I was shooting down the financial sector. I was careful on the strength of the technology sector. As i mention before, if the technology sector start to fall, the market will press the panic button.

Just some Warning !!!

Please do not catch the falling knife. This mean that if the market is falling down, please do not buy and think that it is a bargain especially if you wanna buy and hold for long term. When the market is falling down, there will be some bargain hunter and novices around to push up the downfall a bit, but the fall will be greater after the push. If you are not a day trader or swing trader, then you are most likely to be in risk.

Ride with the wave … if the market confirm to be a bear market, just shot all the way down. If you are not comfortable in shorting the stock, then park your money in somewhere safe (please do not park in gold or oil as they are already peaking) and wait till the end of bear market.

A bear market is always good for the whole economy since we already have 5 years bull market. A healthy market/ economy will go through many boom and recession.
Some sector that are recession proof are …

- Tobacco
- Health Care
- Consumer Staple
- Beverage and Alcohol

Trader Market

The market today is no longer investor market. It is rather a trader market with a lot of novices. Most of the big time investor either park their money in the bond, commodities or they just sitting sideline.

I suspect that the FED will cut the rate till 1% before holding the rates and eventually raise the interests rate. I will not be holding any short term trade and also stay away the market for a while.

Warning …

If you think that BLUE CHIP stock will eventually go up again … Think again …
Let say if the bear market take about 2 year to end and you need another 2 year of the bull market to make back your losses, you will need a total of 4 years. Well isn’t it better to cut losses now and ride will the bull market when it finally come .
Only loser will say that it is meant for long term investment and let their money losing value …
Take charge of your financial and admit that you have make a poor judgment and move on with it …
Only Winner will admit their mistake and use it as a strength to bounce back at a greater height.

Trade Safely and Trade well …
When is the time to Cut, Just Cut it …
The choice is with you …

To Trade Or Not To Trade?

Do we have to trade everyday? This question is target for day trader…

The answer is no. This is because there will be certain days that wont suit the trading system. By forcing to trade, we will actually incur loses as compare to not to trade which mean no lose no win. I guess it become part of the day trader life to trade everyday. It just like being addicted to it.

Do you feel emptiness when you don’t trade?

Sometime we just have to withdraw from this syndrome. Go out with your wife or girl to catch a movie. Trading is not like daily job which you need to work everyday. Trading is to work on the best day and shut off during the bad day. I believe different trader will have their best day and bad day.

Trade on your best day (You feel that the day is just for you)
Shut off your computer (You feel that the day is against you)

What are the best investment in the world?

Have you ever wonder what is the best investment vehicles in the world?

Often i heard people say that real estate is the best investment because houses will always appreciate in long run. Some people say that the stock market is good as long as you buy and hold for long. Some of them say invest in commodities like gold and oil as they will always go up too. Some of them say invest in mutual fund or exchange traded fund.

I also get to hear from the other group of people. They say that invest in stock, mutual fund, real estate and other vehicles is very risky. Some of them say that they got burn from stock market and some get burn by the housing loans.

So who are correct?

Well i believe that all of them give “sound” advice. All investment vehicles in the world is good and excellent IF YOU KNOW HOW TO USE IT.

Let me give you an example…

I do not have a car license and i have not drive before except in the video game center. If you ask me to drive a real car, most likely i will crash the car. Therefore driving a real car is Dangerous to ME and also might cause harm to others.
This is very true in trading world or other investment vehicles. Car license is just like the investment education and the car is like the market. Without proper education on the investment vehicles that you are going to invest is equal to give your money away.

The Best Investment in The World IS YOU … INVEST IN YOURSELF FIRST … YOUR BRAIN …

People tends to blame the market, blame the brokers, blame the guru and blame everybody except themselves. People tend not look at themselves to realize that they are the one who call the shot on purchasing the investment.

You have to take charge of your living. Take charge of your decision. If you have no time to invest yourself then better not invest in the market. If you want to let “people” take charge of your Money then you have to prepare for the lost.

Always ask the Professional (brokers, financial planner and other gurus…) to Guarantee of the Return that they promise to you. If they are able to promise you a fix return then most likely they are good. Always do your due diligence.

Trade Safely and Invest in Yourself

Some Update

I have upload some of the previous articles. I have arrange them accordingly to their category.

Trading psychology provide some nice insight of human behavior in trading. It also show us how the emotion will affect the trades. 30% of the trade is determine by the skill but 70% is determine by the state/emotion of the trader.

Options provide some interesting articles.  Myths of option will be covered and what is an option and many more. Everything that you need to know as a newbies about option will be there.

Online Brokerage shows us 3 different kind of brokerage. The different between IB, OX and TOS. Please take a look at it before you decide which platform is more suitable for you.

There will be more stuff being upload for the next few days. So keep a look out at it. It is a good time to read through again for whatever stuff that you guys have miss out.  I will leave out all the daily trades post as i find it quite meaningless. I will post the big trades that i learn most from it. Meanwhile please enjoy the new layout and the articles and post that i have uploaded.

I’m glad that a lot of people has step up the security of their blog. Through my incident quite a lot of people has been backup their materials.

I’m looking forward to write good stuff for you guys.

Cheers,

Akalawoo

Call Vs Put

Usually …

A call buyer wants the stock to go up.
A put buyer wants the stock to go down.

A call seller wants the stock to go down.
A put seller wants the stock to go up.

But …

A call buyer wants the stock to go down.
A put buyer wants the stock to go up.

A call seller wants the stock to go up.
A put seller wants the stock to go down.

The above statements are not wrong because this is only a part of the picture that you see. A call buyer wants the stock to go down because the buyer buy a call to protect his short selling stock. Option is just like an insurance policy. People buy insurance to protect the house, health and other stuff. Option is the same thing. Option is also use to protect the stock.

Just to take note that the call buyer not necessary want the stock to go up. It really boil down to personal strategy.

7 Myths in Options

Myth 1:
Selling options is the only way to make money since 90% of options expire worthless.

FACT:
Contrary to what many think, the vast majority of options do not expire worthless. The facts are as follows: approximately 10% of options are exercised, from 55% to 60% of option positions are closed prior to expiration, and about 30% to 35% of options expire worthless. Note that 90% of options go unexercised, which is very different than expiring worthless. It should also be noted that this says nothing about profitability. Option positions closed prior to expiration may be profitable or unprofitable. Options that expire worthless may not be unprofitable if they were part of a strategy that involved other securities such as covered call writing.
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Myth 2:
You should only buy low-priced(cheap) options to limit your risk.

FACT:
It is a fact that purchasing options is a limited-risk strategy: The most the buyer of an option can lose is the amount paid for the premium plus commissions. Another way to look at this is that the buyer of an option has less capital at risk than the equivalent position in the underlying asset. What is more important to focus on than the inherent leverage in options is the probability of gain or loss. Low-priced options tend to be short-term and out-of-the-money. These are the options with the very highest probability of expiring worthless. The options toolbox software, available without cost at www.cboe.com/toolbox, allows investors to evaluate these outcomes and probabilities prior to trading.
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Myth 3:
When I buy an option I am taking the risk that whoever sold me the option may not be around when I want to sell or exercise this option.

FACT:
The financial condition of the buyer or sellers of option contracts is not a matter of concern for investors. The counterparty to every option transaction is the Options Clearing Corporation or OCC, which guarantees the performance of the terms of listed option contracts. Should a party default on an option trade the OCC would ultimately make good on those contracts. The OCC has been given an AAA credit rating–the highest rating given by Standard & Poor’s Corporation.
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Myth 4:
Nobody exercises an option before expiration, and so the risk of being assigned early is virtually nonexistent.

FACT:
Although only approximately 10% of options are actually exercised, and the majority of those are exercised very close to the expiration date, a number of options are exercised prior to expiration. In fact, in-the-money equity call options will at times be exercised before expiration just prior to the stock going ex-dividend. The holder of an equity call option may exercise early to capture the dividend that would be foregone if the option were only exercised at expiration. For equity call options, the risk of early exercise is greater immediately prior to the underlying stock going ex-dividend. Equity put options are also occasionally exercised early. Early exercise of puts tends to occur when in-the-money puts are trading near parity (at their intrinsic value, no time premium left). Investors must remember that puts have a tendency to go to parity more readily than calls. So for put options, if the time premium has completely eroded, the risk of early assignment must definitely be taken into account.
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Myth 5:
By their nature options are short-term instruments and forecasting short-term price movements is nearly impossible.

FACT:
Numerous investors prefer to trade shorter-term options. But if someone has a different time frame in mind, the options market may still be able to meet his or her investment needs. In fact, for all optionable stocks, options with expiration dates of six to eight months are listed for trading. For a more limited group of stocks (the ones with the more active and liquid options), longer-dated options, known as LEAPS, are also listed for trading. LEAPS give investors the possibility of establishing option positions of anywhere from nine to a maximum of 32 months. So if your outlook is based on longer-term forecasts, LEAPS may provide you with the leverage and limited risk similar to short-term options.
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Myth 6:
The best way to play a volatile stock is to buy call options, put options, or even both.

FACT:
Buying options is not necessarily the best way to profit from a volatile stock. Investors must keep in mind that options will be priced according to the volatility of the underlying stock. Generally, a relatively stable, low-volatility stock will have relatively inexpensive options; a more volatile stock will have much more expensive options due to the greater uncertainty about future stock prices. The stocks historic volatility will be taken into account in the options’ pricing. Investors buying options to take advantage of a volatile stock must remember that the options market has taken this fact into account also. The resulting option prices will usually include a premium for that historic volatility. If the underlying stock does not behave in the future with as much price volatility as expected, this “volatility premium” in the options prices will erode, sometimes dramatically.
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Myth 7:
Options are a zero-sum game: in order to make money, the trader on the floor who bought or sold an option has to lose for me to make money.

FACT:
Very often when investors purchase options, they do so from a professional option trader (a market maker) who thereby becomes the seller of the option, and vice versa when an investors sell options. It stands to reason that if the buyer of the option (i.e. the investor) is to make money, the seller of this same option (i.e. the market maker) must lose a corresponding amount. It appears as though public investors are in competition with the pros, and would therefore make no sense to argue with experienced, savvy market makers. In fact, the public and market makers are not in competition with one another. The investor who purchases an option usually does so because he or she has an opinion about direction: Call buyers are bullish, put buyers are bearish. Investors purposefully establish positions with a directional bias. When market makers sell or purchase options, it is usually because a public customer wants to buy or sell an option; market makers may have no opinion about the probable direction of a stock. What do they do? In the best of all possible worlds, a market maker who sold an option at 2 would try to buy it back at 1-7/8, make a small profit and have no market exposure. In most real-world cases, a market maker who sells an option may not be able to buy it back quickly at a profit. What happens then, wait and hope the stock goes in the right direction? For most market makers a wait and hope strategy would be a recipe for disaster. Instead, they will hedge their positions, either by buying or selling a different option, or many times by buying or selling the underlying stock or security. It turns out that investors and market makers are not competing against one another: investors are trading a directional opinion, while market makers are hedging their positions and trying to lock in small profits due to small price fluctuations in a series of options and the underlying security.

Article by CBOE

Option Tradings

Have you wonder what are options?

Do you know that Options is a tool create to trade stocks especially for those expensive stocks.

Definition: An option contract is an agreement between two parties to buy/sell an asset (stock or futures contract as an example) at a fixed price and fixed date in the future.

It is called an option because the buyer is not obliged to carry out the transaction. If, over the life of the contract, the asset value decreases, the buyer can simply elect not to exercise his/her right to buy/sell the asset.

There are two types of option contracts - Call options and Put options.
A Call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset, while a Put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset.

American options can be exercised anytime between the date of purchase and the expiration date. European options may only be redeemed at the expiration date. Most exchange-traded stock options are American.

A simple example: lawrence buys a Call option contract from Sarah. The contract states that lawrence will buy 100 Microsoft shares from Sarah on the 5th May for $25. The current share price for Microsoft is $30.

Note: this is an example of a Call option as it gives lawrence the right to buy the underlying asset.

If the share price of Microsoft is trading above $25 on the 5th May, then lawrence will exercise the option and Sarah will have to sell him Microsoft shares for $25. With Microsoft trading anywhere above $25 lawrence can make an instant profit by taking the shares from Sarah at the agreed price of $25 and then selling the shares on the open market for whatever the current share price is and making a profit.

The $25 value, which is stated in the agreement, is referred to as the Exercise (or Strike) Price. This is the price at which the asset will be exchanged.

The date (in this case 5th May) is known as the Expiry (or Maturity) Date. This date is the deadline for the option contract. At this date, the option buyer is to decide if a transaction of the underlying asset is to occur.

Outcomes: Let’s imagine that at the expiration date, Microsoft is trading at $30, then lawrence will buy the shares from Sarah at the agreed $25 and then he can sell them back on the open market for $30 and make an instant $5.

Alternatively, if Microsoft is trading at $20, then buying the shares from Sarah at $25 is too expensive as he can buy them on the open market for $20 and save $5. In this situation, lawrence would choose not to exercise his right to buy the shares and let the options contract expire worthless. His only loss would be the amount that he paid to Sarah when he bought the contract, which is called the Option Premium - more on that a little later. Sarah would, however, keep the option premium received from lawrence as her profit.

In the real world of exchange traded options, transactions don’t really take place between two people like I’ve explained above. The process of Novation actually removes the identity of who is on the other side of the trade. You simply Buy or Sell an option contract from the exchange without knowing who is on the other side.

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